Calendar
All dates for the lecture notes are tentative. All dates for the homework and
exams are fixed. Note, students are responsible for corrections and additional examples
covered in class.
651
| Date |
Subject |
Reading |
Comments |
| 8/31 | Set theory basics, probability Lecture 1 | Chapter 1 | |
| 9/5 | Introduction to probability Lecture 2 | 3.1-3.5, 4.1-4.3, 5.1-5.2 | |
| 9/7 | Expected values Lecture 3 | 4.4-4.5, 4.9 | HW 1 is due |
| 9/12 | Random vectors, independence Lecture 4 | 3.4 | |
| 9/14 | Conditional probabilities, Bayes rule Lecture 5 | 3.6-3.9 | |
| 9/19 | Likelihood Lecture 6 | | |
| 9/21 | Distributions Lecture 7 | 4.8, 4.9, 5.1-5.6 | HW 2 is due |
| 9/26 | | | Exam 1 |
| 9/28 | Asymptotics Lecture 8 | 6.1,6.2,6.5 | |
| 10/3 | Confidence intervals Lecture 9 | 6.7,6.8 | |
| 10/5 | Confidence intervals Lecture 10 | 8.3, 8.5
| HW 3 is due |
| 10/10 | Some basic plots lecture11 and Karl's slides on bad plotting also while on the topic of destroying content with gratuitous graphics, look at this true gem that highlights the perils of powerpoint | Chapter 2 | |
| 10/12 | Bootstrapping lecture 12 | | Class ends 20 minutes early |
| 10/17 | Confidence intervals for binomial proportions lecture 13 and confidence interval interpretations | 6.8 | |
| 10/19 | Logs, geometric meansLecture 14 and Exam review | | HW 4 is due |
| 10/24 | | | Exam 2 |
652
| Date |
Subject |
Reading |
Comments |
| 10/26 | Hypothesis Testing Lecture 15 also see these files | 7.1-7.7 | |
| 10/31 | Power and sample size and two group tests Lecture 16 and Lecture 17; also look at these review notes about hypothesis testing | 8.1-8.8 8.10-8.12 | |
| 11/2 | Tests for binomial proportions Lecture 18 | 7.10 | HW 5 due |
| 11/7 | Two sample binomial tests, delta method Lecture 19 and Lecture 20 | 10.1, 10.2, 13.1-13.3 | |
| 11/9 | Fisher's exact tests, Chi-squared tests Lecture 21 Lecture 22 also, some notes on the multinomial distribution | 10.2,10.3-10.6-10.9 | |
| 11/14 | Simpson's pardox, confounding Lecture 23 | 13.4,13.5 | |
| 11/16 | Retrospective case-control studies, exact inference for the odds ratio Lecture 24 | 13.1-13.3 | HW 6 due on Friday the 17th |
| 11/21 | | | Midterm Exam |
| 11/23 | No class | | |
| 11/28 | Methods for matched pairs, McNemar's,
conditional versus marginal odds ratios Lecture 25 and this adendum | 10.4 | |
| 11/30 | Non-parametric tests, permutation tests Lecture 26 | Chapter 9 | |
| 12/5 | Inference for Poisson counts Lecture 27 | 14.1-14.3 | |
| 12/7 | Multiplicity Lecture 28 | pages 573-576, 579-581 | HW 7 NOTE THE NEW DUE DATE |
| 12/12 | ROC curves Lecture 29 | | |
| 12/14 | More contingency table stuff Lecture 30 | 10.8 | |
| 12/19 | Exam review and some quotes | | HW 8 due |
| 12/21 | | | Final exam |