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 Biostatistics
140.623
Statistical Methods in Public Health III
Department of Biostatistics, Johns
Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

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Final
Exam Solution
Question 16 was graded correctly but the answer key was
inadvertently wrong
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Third Term
January 22 - March 13, 2008
INSTRUCTORS:
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Marie Diener-West, PhD (Section 01) Department of Biostatistics, Hygiene E3622 Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health phone: 410-502-6894 fax: 410-955-0958 Office Hours: TBA and by appointment
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Scott L Zeger, PhD (Section 02) Department of Biostatistics, Hygiene E3527 Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health phone: 410-955-3067 fax: 410-955-0958 Office Hours:
TBA
LECTURES:
10:30 am-12 pm Tuesday, Thursday
LABS for review, questions, and help with the problem
sets:
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Lab 1: |
Monday |
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM |
Hygiene W2008 |
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Lab 2: |
Monday |
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM |
Hygiene W2008 |
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Lab 3: |
Tuesday |
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM |
Hygiene W2008 |
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Lab 4: |
Tuesday |
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM |
Hygiene W2008 |
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Lab 5: |
Wednesday |
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM |
Hygiene W2008 |
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Lab 6: |
Wednesday |
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM |
Hygiene W2008 |
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Lab 7: |
Thursday |
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM |
Hygiene W2008 |
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Lab 8: |
Thursday |
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM |
Hygiene W2008 |
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Lab 9: |
Friday |
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM |
Hygiene W2008 |
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Lab 10: |
Friday |
3:30 PM -
5:00 PM |
Hygiene W2008 |
| Note: 3:00-3:30
is open time for questions |
COMPUTER LAB for STATA help:
(starting Wednesday, January
23, optional) |
| Monday - Friday |
2:30 - 3:20 PM |
Hygiene W3025 |
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LAB INSTRUCTORS:
TEACHING ASSISTANTS:
OFFICE HOURS for Teaching Assistants
(starting Wednesday,
January 23, optional)
| Mon thru Fri |
12:15 PM - 1:15 PM, |
W2009 |
COMPUTER LAB for Stata help
(starting Wednesday, January 23,
optional)
| Mon thru Fri |
2:30 PM - 3:20 PM, |
Hygiene W3025 |
LECTURE NOTES:
Download Acrobat
Reader (version 8 required)
WEB SITE:
http://biostat.jhsph.edu/courses/bio623
Userid: bio623
Password: (given in class)
Contains course schedule, office hours, lecture notes, self-evaluation
problems, Stata lecture notes, problem sets, quizzes, solution keys,
and data sets.
DIGITAL AUDIO:
- Digitized audio of each lecture is available on the course website
after each lecture.
TEXTBOOK:
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Lawrence C. Hamilton. Statistics with Stata
9, 2006, Duxbury Press,
Belmont, CA.
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Recommended book for which we will provide reading assignments:
Bernard Rosner, Fundamentals of Biostatistics,
2006, Duxbury Press, Belmont, CA.
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Online
Hypertext Book
CALCULATOR:
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Basic functions (+, -, x, ÷), logarithms and
exponents, simple memory and recall, factorial key.
COMPUTING PACKAGE:
- Stata, Stata Press, College Station, Texas (1-800-statapc)
GRADING (total of 100) based on:
- 20% completion of 4 problem sets (points deducted if turned in late)
Students may work together, but must hand in their own version of
the problems set -- DO NOT SUBMIT AN EXACT COPY of another
student's work.
- 5% Quiz 1
- 5% Quiz 2
- 35% Midterm examination (in class)
- 35% Final examination (in class)
COURSE OBJECTIVE:
Students who successfully master this course
will be able to:
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Use statistical reasoning to formulate
public health questions in quantitative terms:
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Understand the role of statistical
reasoning within the scientific model.
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Understand and apply the counterfactual
definition of cause in public health research.
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Distinguish between continuous,
categorical, binary and time-to-event data.
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Understand that evidence for establishing
an association between a risk factor and health outcome is
generated by comparing the distribution of the outcome in otherwise
similar populations with different levels of the risk factor.
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Use stratification in design and analysis
to minimize confounding and identify risk modification.
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Conduct statistical computations and
construct graphical and tabular displays for regression analysis:
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Use the statistical analysis package Stata
to perform multivariable regression models.
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Document and archive the steps of your
statistical analysis by creating a Stata do-file.
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Create and interpret scatterplots and
adjusted variable plots that display the relationships between an
outcome and multiple risk factors.
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Create and interpret tables of regression
results including unadjusted and adjusted estimates of coefficients
with confidence intervals from many models.
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Use probability models to describe trends
and random variation in public health data:
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Distinguish between the underlying
probability distributions for modeling continuous, categorical,
binary and time-to-event data.
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Recognize the key assumptions underlying a
multivariable regression model and judge whether departures in a
particular application warrant consultation with a statistical
expert.
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Use statistical methods for inference in
multiple regression to draw valid public health inferences from data:
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Conduct a simple linear, logistic or
survival regression and correctly interpret the regression
coefficients and their confidence interval.
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Conduct a multiple linear, logistic or
survival regression and correctly interpret the coefficients and
their confidence intervals.
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Examine residuals and adjusted variable
plots for inconsistencies between the regression model and patterns
in the data and for outliers and high leverage observations.
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Fit and compare different models to
explore the association between outcome and predictor variables in
an observational study.
The course is designed to enable students to develop their data
analysis skills. Four important datasets will be analyzed by the
students using the statistical package Stata throughout the 621-624
course sequence.
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Last updated
Sunday, March 30, 2008 |
©2008,
Department of Biostatistics,
Johns Hopkins
Bloomberg School of Public Health
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